National : President: general election : 2024 Polls (2024)

UPDATED Aug. 31, 2024, at 9:13 AM

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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterSponsorResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, 2024AVG.

Aug. 25-29

2,191LV

Aug. 25-29

2,191LV

Harris

50%

Harris

50%

Harris

50%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

1%

West

1%

Oliver

0%

44%

TrumpHarris+5

50%

Harris

44%

Trump

4%

Kennedy

1%

Stein

1%

West

0%

Oliver

Aug. 25-29

2,191LV

Aug. 25-29

2,191LV

Harris

53%

Harris

53%

Harris

53%

Trump

47%

47%

Trump Harris+5

Aug. 26-28

2,441LV

Aug. 26-28

2,441LV

Napolitan Institute Harris

51%

Harris

51%

Harris

51%

Trump

48%

48%

Trump Harris+3

Aug. 25-28

1,000LV

Aug. 25-28

1,000LV

USA Today Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

43%

West

2%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%

43%

TrumpHarris+4

48%

Harris

43%

Trump

2%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

Aug. 24-28

1,500RV

Aug. 24-28

1,500RV

The Wall Street Journal Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

47%

47%

Trump Harris+1

Aug. 24-28

1,500RV

Aug. 24-28

1,500RV

The Wall Street Journal Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Trump

45%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%

45%

TrumpHarris+2

47%

Harris

45%

Trump

1%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

Aug. 23-28

1,238LV

Aug. 23-28

1,238LV

Harris

57%

Harris

57%

Harris

57%

Vance

39%

39%

Vance Harris+18

Aug. 23-28

1,238LV

Aug. 23-28

1,238LV

Harris

51%

Harris

51%

Harris

51%

Trump

45%

45%

Trump Harris+6

Aug. 23-28

1,511LV

Aug. 23-28

1,511LV

Harris

50%

Harris

50%

Harris

50%

Trump

43%

43%

Trump Harris+7

Aug. 23-28

1,681RV

Aug. 23-28

1,681RV

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

42%

42%

Trump Harris+6

Aug. 23-28

2,020A

Aug. 23-28

2,020A

Harris

45%

Harris

45%

Harris

45%

Trump

39%

39%

Trump Harris+6

Aug. 23-28

1,511LV

Aug. 23-28

1,511LV

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

5%

West

1%

Stein

1%

41%

TrumpHarris+7

48%

Harris

41%

Trump

5%

Kennedy

1%

West

1%

Stein

Aug. 23-28

1,681RV

Aug. 23-28

1,681RV

Harris

45%

Harris

45%

Harris

45%

Trump

40%

Kennedy

5%

West

1%

Stein

1%

40%

TrumpHarris+5

45%

Harris

40%

Trump

5%

Kennedy

1%

West

1%

Stein

Aug. 23-28

2,020A

Aug. 23-28

2,020A

Harris

42%

Harris

42%

Harris

42%

Trump

37%

Kennedy

5%

West

1%

Stein

1%

37%

TrumpHarris+5

42%

Harris

37%

Trump

5%

Kennedy

1%

West

1%

Stein

Aug. 21-28

4,253A

Aug. 21-28

4,253A

Reuters Harris

40%

Harris

40%

Harris

40%

Trump

36%

Kennedy

6%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%

West

1%

36%

TrumpHarris+4

40%

Harris

36%

Trump

6%

Kennedy

1%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%

West

Aug. 21-28

3,562RV

Aug. 21-28

3,562RV

Reuters Harris

45%

Harris

45%

Harris

45%

Trump

41%

41%

Trump Harris+4

Aug. 21-28

4,253A

Aug. 21-28

4,253A

Reuters Harris

41%

Harris

41%

Harris

41%

Trump

38%

38%

Trump Harris+3

Aug. 21-28

3,562RV

Aug. 21-28

3,562RV

Reuters Harris

44%

Harris

44%

Harris

44%

Trump

40%

Kennedy

6%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%

West

0%

40%

TrumpHarris+4

44%

Harris

40%

Trump

6%

Kennedy

1%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%

West

Aug. 26-27

1,094LV

Aug. 26-27

1,094LV

TrendingPolitics

TrendingPolitics is a partisan sponsor for the Republican Party.

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%

47%

Trump Harris+2

Aug. 25-27

1,368RV

Aug. 25-27

1,368RV

The Economist Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Trump

45%

Stein

1%

West

0%

45%

TrumpHarris+2

47%

Harris

45%

Trump

1%

Stein

0%

West

Aug. 23-27

1,611LV

Aug. 23-27

1,611LV

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%

48%

Trump Harris+1

Aug. 23-27

1,611LV

Aug. 23-27

1,611LV

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%

47%

TrumpHarris+2

49%

Harris

47%

Trump

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

Aug. 22-26

1,200RV

Aug. 22-26

1,200RV

Yahoo News Harris

44%

Harris

44%

Harris

44%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

6%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%

West

0%

42%

TrumpHarris+2

44%

Harris

42%

Trump

6%

Kennedy

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%

West

Aug. 22-26

1,788A

Aug. 22-26

1,788A

Yahoo News Harris

39%

Harris

39%

Harris

39%

Trump

36%

Kennedy

7%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%

36%

TrumpHarris+3

39%

Harris

36%

Trump

7%

Kennedy

1%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

Aug. 22-26

1,197RV

Aug. 22-26

1,197RV

Yahoo News Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Trump

46%

46%

Trump Harris+1

Aug. 22-26

1,194RV

Aug. 22-26

1,194RV

Yahoo News Harris

46%

Harris

46%

Harris

46%

Trump

45%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%

45%

TrumpHarris+1

46%

Harris

45%

Trump

1%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

Aug. 20-26

2,626RV

Aug. 20-26

2,626RV

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

43%

43%

Trump Harris+5

Aug. 23-25

7,818RV

Aug. 23-25

7,818RV

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

44%

44%

Trump Harris+4

Aug. 23-25

863LV

Aug. 23-25

863LV

National Post Harris

50%

Harris

50%

Harris

50%

Trump

46%

46%

Trump Harris+4

Aug. 23-25

908A

Aug. 23-25

908A

National Post Harris

50%

Harris

50%

Harris

50%

Trump

46%

46%

Trump Harris+4

Aug. 23-25

856LV

Aug. 23-25

856LV

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

45%

Trump Harris+5

Aug. 23-25

929RV

Aug. 23-25

929RV

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Trump

43%

43%

Trump Harris+4

Aug. 23-25

1,031LV

Aug. 23-25

1,031LV

Biden

46%

Biden

46%

Biden

46%

Trump

50%

50%

Trump Trump+4

Aug. 23-25

1,031LV

Aug. 23-25

1,031LV

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%

Stein

1%

West

1%

Oliver

1%

48%

TrumpEven

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

1%

Stein

1%

West

1%

Oliver

Aug. 23-25

1,031LV

Aug. 23-25

1,031LV

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%

West

0%

45%

TrumpHarris+2

47%

Harris

45%

Trump

4%

Kennedy

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%

West

Aug. 23-25

1,031LV

Aug. 23-25

1,031LV

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

49%

Trump Trump+1

National : President: general election : 2024 Polls (2)avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.

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Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Holly Fuong, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Polling averages by G. Elliott Morris. Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Andrea Jones-Rooy, Irena Li, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan, Geoffrey Skelley and Julia Wolfe contributed research. Editing by Sarah Frostenson, Nathaniel Rakich, Kaleigh Rogers and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux. Copy editing by Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Alex Kimball, Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan, Maya Sweedler and Curtis Yee.

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